Abdurrauf Science and Society
Vol. 1 No. 3 (2025): Abdurrauf Science and Society

Predicting Financial Distress Using the Grover, Springate, Taffler, Zmijewski, and Altman models: a Case Study of PT. Prima Alloy Steel Universal Tbk (PRAS) and PT. Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk (SRIL)

Rotinsulu, David Peter (Unknown)
Saerang, David Paul Elia (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 May 2025

Abstract

Every company aims to remain competitive in the business world and consistently generate profits. Nevertheless, some companies that have operated for years are eventually forced to cease production due to mounting debt, poor management planning, and unstable financial statements, leading to financial distress—as seen in the cases of PT. Prima Alloy Steel Universal Tbk (PRAS) and PT. Sri Rejeki Isman Tbk (SRIL). This research aims to determine which model among Grover (G-Score), Springate (S-Score), Taffler (T-Score), Zmijewski (X-Score), and Altman (Z-Score) is the most accurate in predicting financial distress. To evaluate the precision of each model, the study involves calculating the accuracy level of the prediction results. A comparative descriptive method with a quantitative approach is applied. The financial data analyzed in this study consists of the companies’ financial statements from the three years following their declaration of bankruptcy or financial distress by the Commercial Court. The results indicate that the Springate model has the highest level of accuracy, achieving a 100% accuracy rate and successfully predicting the bankruptcy of the companies studied. It hopes that the company must having competent leaders by seeking the risk of bankruptcy / financial distress to help decisions or policies making, in order to save and prevent from threatening bankruptcy in the future.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

asoc

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Social Sciences

Description

Abdurrauf Science and Society adalah jurnal akses terbuka dan peer-review. Abdurrauf Science and Society adalah jurnal yang ditujukan untuk studi konteks sosial. Jurnal ini berfokus pada cara kemajuan sains dan kemasyarakatan dan sebaliknya. Jurnal ini adalah jurnal peer-review yang mengambil ...