Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen & Ekonomika
Vol. 17 No. 2 (2025): Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen dan Ekonomika, Vol. 17, No.2, Juni 2025

Determinants of Gold Prices in Indonesia Period of 2018-2022

Aprizal, Sigit (Unknown)
Harahap, Muhammad Nasim (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jun 2025

Abstract

Gold plays a significant role in the economy, serving both as a store of value and an indicator of economic stability. This study aims to examine the impact of exchange rates, interest rates, the Indonesia Composite Stock Index (IHSG), and world oil prices on gold prices in Indonesia. The study utilizes monthly secondary data from January 2018 to December 2022 and applies the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for analysis. The long-run estimation results indicate that exchange rates, interest rates, and IHSG significantly influence gold prices, while world oil prices have a negative impact. In the short run, only the IHSG exhibits a significant negative effect. The Impulse Response Function (IRF) reveals that exchange rates and the IHSG generate negative shocks, whereas interest rates and world oil prices generate positive shocks to gold prices. Furthermore, the Variance Decomposition analysis shows that exchange rates contribute the most to gold price fluctuations, followed by the IHSG, interest rates, and world oil prices.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

jime

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

JIME is a peer-reviewed journal published by INDONESIA BANKING SCHOOL. The journal main aim is to provide an outlet for publishing scholarly research articles which emphasizes the contribution and managerial implication of the findings. JIME invites manuscripts on various topics in banking, business ...