Journal of Degraded and Mining Lands Management
Vol. 12 No. 4 (2025)

Multidimensional taxonomy of fiscal vulnerability in mining regions: An approach based on differential predictability

Ticona-Salluca, Hugo (Unknown)
Mamani-Chambi, Yefer Andersson (Unknown)
Yupanqui-Bendita , Cesar Enrique (Unknown)
Tito-Lipa, Jose Panfilo (Unknown)
Figueroa-Quispe, Wilber Antonio (Unknown)
Merma-Bellido, Martin Julio (Unknown)
Calizaya-Chura, Edgar (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jul 2025

Abstract

This study develops an innovative framework to assess fiscal vulnerability in regions dependent on mining resources in Peru. Using data from 25 departments (2015-2023), this study constructed a multidimensional taxonomy that integrates dependency, volatility, predictability, and temporal trends. The results reveal substantial differences in predictability between resources: Mining License Fees show high predictability (R²=0.953), contrasting with Mining Royalties (R²=0.497). This study identified three distinctive regional profiles where Ancash exhibits the highest fiscal vulnerability (0.723). The practically null correlation (0.02) between dependency and volatility confirms that they are independent and complementary dimensions for assessing fiscal risks. The proposed framework allows the identification of regions requiring priority interventions and offers analytical tools with applicability in similar mining contexts.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jdmlm

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology

Description

Journal of Degraded and Mining Lands Management is managed by the International Research Centre for the Management of Degraded and Mining Lands (IRC-MEDMIND), research collaboration between Brawijaya University, Mataram University, Massey University, and Institute of Geochemistry, Chinese Academy of ...