PHARMACOLOGY, MEDICAL REPORTS, ORTHOPEDIC, AND ILLNESS DETAILS (COMORBID)
Vol. 3 No. 3 (2024): JULY

DE-ESCALATING INTENSITY AND PRESERVING OUTCOMES: A BAYESIAN-ML NETWORK META-ANALYSIS OF MULTIMODAL TREATMENT STRATEGIES IN HPV-POSITIVE OROPHARYNGEAL CANCER

Rafi, Muhammad Allam (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Oct 2024

Abstract

The study presents the first integrative Bayesian-machine learning (ML) network meta-analysis, enhanced by machine learning algorithms, to evaluate and rank de-escalation treatment strategies for HPV-positive oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). A total of 2,298 patients from 10 multicenter studies and randomized controlled trials were included, comprising randomized controlled trials, observational studies, and phase II investigations. Twelve distinct treatment strategies were analyzed, including TORS with de-escalated adjuvant RT, reduced-dose chemoradiotherapy, adaptive radiotherapy, and immunotherapy-based regimens. The SUCRA (Surface Under the Cumulative Ranking) scores indicated TORS + de-escalated RT as the top-ranked strategy (SUCRA = 0.91), followed by reduced-dose CRT (0.88) and adaptive RT (0.84). SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis from a Random Forest classifier confirmed that toxicity reduction (impact = 0.34) and quality of life (QOL) improvement (0.28) were the most critical factors driving high SUCRA rankings, with overall survival (OS) rates consistently above 90% in the top three strategies. Funnel plots suggested low publication bias, while cluster heatmaps demonstrated clear stratification of treatment profiles. The t-SNE visualization validated strong feature convergence among top-performing modalities. This analysis highlights the potential of machine learning-guided evidence synthesis to enhance clinical decision-making in personalized OPSCC therapy by balancing oncologic efficacy with functional outcomes.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

COMORBID

Publisher

Subject

Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Medicine & Pharmacology Neuroscience Nursing

Description

About the Journal PHARMACOLOGY, MEDICAL REPORTS, ORTHOPEDIC, AND ILLNESS DETAILS (COMORBID) is an international, modern, general medical publication that publishes research on all aspects of medicine, from fundamental research to significant clinical trials and cost-effectiveness analyses. We ...