Quantitative Economics and Management Studies
Vol. 6 No. 3 (2025)

Does AI Sentiment Affect Stock Returns? Evidence from Indonesia’s Banking Sector

Junanta, Geryan (Unknown)
Rokhim, Rofikoh (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
10 Jun 2025

Abstract

This study investigates the heterogeneous effects of AI-related investor sentiment on the stock returns of Indonesian banks. Using a correlation-weighted AI Sentiment Index (AI-SVI) derived from Google Trends, panel regressions reveal that only fintech-driven banks show significant responsiveness to AI sentiment, while conventional, independent digital, and conglomerate-backed banks do not. These findings are supported by a supplementary investor perception survey, which confirms that market participants associate visible and strategic AI adoption primarily with fintech institutions. The results suggest that AI sentiment can act as a behavioral signal of valuation in emerging financial markets, but its effectiveness depends on how innovation is perceived and communicated. Policymakers and investors should be cautious in interpreting sentiment-driven movements, especially in sectors with uneven technological maturity.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

qems

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Mathematics

Description

Journal of Quantitative Economics and Management Studies (QEMS) is an international peer-reviewed open-access journal dedicated to interchange for the results of high-quality research in all aspects of economics, management, business, finance, marketing, accounting. The journal publishes ...