Jurnal Bisnis dan Pemasaran Digital
Vol. 4 No. 2 (2025): Januari

Analysis of Regional Stock Market Impact on Jakarta Composite Index using Markov

Riswanda, Cecep (Unknown)
Rikumahu, Brady (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
10 Jan 2025

Abstract

Purpose: In the current era of information, global stock market interconnections significantly influence investment decisions. Changes in one market rapidly affect others. The co-movement of stock markets presents challenges and opportunities for investors, whereas volatility spillovers complicate risk management and investment strategies. Research Methodology: This study examines the influence of the Nikkei 225, Straits Times Index, and Shanghai Composite Index on the Jakarta Composite Index across the pre-pandemic, pandemic, and post-pandemic phases. Results: Utilizing the hidden Markov model with regime-switching regression, this study identifies changes in market behavior due to economic shifts during the pandemic, revealing two regimes: synchronization and desynchronization. Conclusions: The N225 and STI indices have a consistently positive and significant influence on the JCI, whereas SCI shows a negative but statistically insignificant impact. During the pandemic (March 2020 to April 2021), market desynchronization increased, reducing the significance of N225 while STI remained impactful. Post-pandemic, synchronization improved, and both N225 and STI regained their significant influence on JCI, indicating strengthened regional market integration. Limitations: Pre-COVID-19, the Jakarta Composite Index shows strong synchronization with the Nikkei 225 and Straits Times Index, while the Shanghai Composite Index has an insignificant impact. During the COVID-19 pandemic, frequent desynchronization occurred due to high uncertainty and volatility, with only the Straits Times Index significantly influencing the Jakarta Composite Index. Contributions: This study contributes significantly to the understanding of regional stock market relationships and offers valuable insights for academia and practice.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JBPD

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Diterbitkan oleh Penerbit Goodwood, Jurnal Bisnis dan Pemasaran Digital (JBPD) adalah jurnal ilmiah bertaraf nasional yang menerbitkan artikel berkualitas di bidang bisnis dan pemasaran digital. JBPD bertujuan untuk menjadi wadah akademis yang menampung ide, penemuan, dan inovasi baru dalam rangka ...