Jurnal E-Komtek
Vol 9 No 1 (2025)

An Analysis and Forecasting of Electricity Demand Using the Triple Exponential Smoothing Method

Aulia Nur Aini (Unknown)
Hakim, Dimara Kusuma (Unknown)
Feri Wibowo (Unknown)
Elindra Ambar Pambudi (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 Jul 2025

Abstract

Electricity is a basic necessity required in daily life, supporting various activities, including economic development. The growing demand for electricity requires reliable and efficient planning and management of the power system. Electricity demand forecasting is essential due to its fluctuating nature and seasonal patterns. This study aims to forecast electricity demand using the Triple Exponential Smoothing method with data from the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) for the New South Wales region, Australia, covering the period from January 2015 to February 2025. This method is chosen because it effectively handles time series data patterns consisting of level, trend, and seasonal components. The forecasting results show that this method is capable of closely following the actual data patterns and produces a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2.89%, indicating a very good performance. This model is expected to serve as a basis for decision-making in anticipating future fluctuations in electricity demand.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

E-KOMTEK

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

Jurnal E-Komtek (Elektro-Komputer-Teknik) is a Journal that contains scientific articles in the form of research results, analytical studies, application of theory, and discussion of various problems relating to Electrical, Computer, and Automotive Mechanical ...