Journal of Applied Data Sciences
Vol 6, No 3: September 2025

Integrating Moving Average Indicators with Long Short-Term Memory Model in Bitcoin Price Forecasting

Quang, Phung Duy (Unknown)
Duy, Nguyen Hoang (Unknown)
Khoai, Pham Quang (Unknown)
Duong, Bui Duc (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
10 Jul 2025

Abstract

Bitcoin price forecasting remains a challenging task due to the market's high volatility and complex nonlinear dynamics. This study proposes a novel forecasting framework by integrating Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks with Moving Average (MA) indicators—specifically Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Weighted Moving Average (WMA)—as auxiliary input features to enhance model accuracy. The objective is to examine the frequency-specific effectiveness of these hybrid models across daily and high-frequency datasets. Using historical Bitcoin data from Bitstamp between January 2021 and December 2024, we conducted experiments at four epoch levels (50, 100, 150, 200) to determine optimal model configurations. Empirical results reveal that, on daily data, LSTM combined with a 10-period WMA achieves the lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 2.1661% at 150 epochs, while for high-frequency data, the combination with a 10-period SMA yields superior performance with a MAPE of 0.4895%. Furthermore, increasing epochs beyond the optimal point led to performance degradation, indicating overfitting. Compared to the standalone LSTM model, our integrated approach demonstrates significantly improved adaptability to short-term fluctuations and heightened forecasting precision. This research contributes a comprehensive comparative analysis of MA-enhanced deep learning models for cryptocurrency price prediction, and offers practical insights for algorithmic traders, financial analysts, and decision-support systems in volatile digital asset markets.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JADS

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management

Description

One of the current hot topics in science is data: how can datasets be used in scientific and scholarly research in a more reliable, citable and accountable way? Data is of paramount importance to scientific progress, yet most research data remains private. Enhancing the transparency of the processes ...