AL-ARBAH: Journal of Islamic Finance and Banking
Vol. 7 No. 2 (2025)

The non-linear impact of stokvel savings and banking sector development in South Africa

Ngcobo, Lindiwe (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
23 Jul 2025

Abstract

Purpose - The study investigated the non-linear impact of stokvel savings and banking sector development in South Africa. Method - The study applied the unit root break-even test, bounds F-test or cointegration and the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model for short- and long-run asymmetric impact with economic time series data ranging from 2009Q4 to 2020Q2. Result - The results of the break-even unit root tests reveal that variables were found to be I(0) and I(1), thus confirming that variables that are I(2) were not present. The findings of NARDL bounds F-test cointegration that there is a long-run relationship between banking sector size and the selected predictors. The short- and long-run multipliers portray adjustment to a new equilibrium after positive and negative shock. Implication - The empirical results demonstrates that NARDL is not the best model to detect long-run relationship between banking sector size and its predic. Originality - This study investigated the impact of stokvel savings and banking sector size in South Africa using the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) bound testing approach technique. Keywords: Non-Linear Autoregressive Distributed Lag, stokvel savings, banking sector size, gross domestic product, money supply, South Africa

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Journal Info

Abbrev

arbah

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

AL-ARBAH: Journal of Islamic Finance and Banking is a peer-reviewed journal, published biannually by Department of Sharia Banking, Faculty of Islamics Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri (UIN) Walisongo Semarang Indonesia. This journal is peer-reviewed journal by English language ...