Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi)
Vol. 14 No. 3 (2025): September

Pengujian Peran Emas dan Bitcoin Sebagai Aset Safe Haven: Stabilitas vs Spekulasi

Gutama, Zulfikar (Unknown)
Setyahuni, Suhita (Unknown)
Safitri, Maria (Unknown)
Puspitasari, Diana (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Jul 2025

Abstract

Introduction: This study examines the roles of gold and Bitcoin as safe-haven assets amid global financial uncertainties from 2014 to 2025. While gold is traditionally viewed as a stable asset during market turmoil, Bitcoin's highly volatile and speculative nature challenges its role as a safe-haven. The purpose is to compare the stability and effectiveness of these assets in preserving investment value during crises.Methods: This quantitative research uses 136 monthly return data points of gold and Bitcoin. Analytical methods include independent sample t-tests for comparing average returns and Dynamic Conditional Correlation Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (DCC-GARCH) models to assess volatility and dynamic correlations.Results: Findings reveal gold as a more stable and reliable safe-haven with consistently lower volatility and steadier returns. Bitcoin shows significantly higher volatility and fluctuating dynamic correlations with gold, indicating its speculative behavior. The t-test confirms a significant difference in average returns, while no strong causal relationship exists between the two assets. These results suggest gold is preferable for conservative investors, whereas Bitcoin serves better as a high-risk diversification instrument. Keywords: Bitcoin, Gold, DCC-GARCH, Safe Haven Asset, Investment Asset

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JurnalManeksi

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Yth Pengelola Garuda Kami Editor Jurnal maneksi memohon agar nama jurnal kami disesuaikan dengan nama jurnal yang ada di ISSN Brin dari Jurnal Maneksi menjadi Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi), karena hal ini menjadi masukan ketika kami mengajukan akreditasi jurnal kami. Atas bantuan ...