Jurnal Rekayasa Material, Manufaktur & Energi
Vol 8, No 2: JULI 2025

Machine Learning-Based Regression Model for Predicting Global Horizontal Radiation and Global Horizontal Irradiance: A Case Study in Banda Aceh

Fajar Sabri, M Salamul (Unknown)
Muhammad, Ikramullah (Unknown)
Rizqullah, Akbar (Unknown)
Fikri, Thaharul (Unknown)
Fajri, Nural (Unknown)
Mizanus Sabri, Faris Ahmad (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Jul 2025

Abstract

Global Horizontal Radiation (GHR) and Global Horizontal Illumination (GHI) are critical environmental parameters that play a vital role in solar energy development, precision agriculture, and sustainable urban planning. However, their prediction remains challenging due to the high variability caused by atmospheric conditions. This study evaluates the performance of various machine learning models in predicting GHR and GHI using a comprehensive dataset comprising 29 environmental features. The models tested include Linear Regression, Random Forest Regressor, XGBoost Regressor, LightGBM Regressor, Support Vector Regressor (SVR), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The results consistently show that ensemble-based models, particularly LightGBM Regressor, provide the best predictive performance for both target variables, achieving very high R-squared values (approaching 0.999). XGBoost and Random Forest also demonstrate highly competitive performance. ANN performs well, while Linear Regression and SVR show lower accuracy. These findings underscore the significant potential of advanced machine learning models in predicting environmental parameters with high accuracy, which has important implications for renewable energy optimization, smart agriculture, and sustainable urban planning.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

RMME

Publisher

Subject

Aerospace Engineering Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering

Description

Jurnal Rekayasa Material, Manufaktur & Energi, yang diterbitkan oleh Fakultas Teknik, Program Studi Teknik Mesin, Universitas Muhammadiyah Sumatera Utara (UMSU), Medan, Sumatera Utara, Indonesia, Jurnal Rekayasa Material, Manufaktur & Energi menerima artikel ilmiah hasil-hasil penelitian, dan ...