Sciencestatistics: Journal of Statistics, Probability, and Its Application
Vol. 3 No. 2 (2025): JULY

Growth Model Study Using a Comparison of Gompertz, Logistic, and Weibull Models

Suciati, Indah (Unknown)
Vina Nurmadani (Unknown)
Yoga Aji Sukma (Unknown)
Linda Rassiyanti (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
09 Aug 2025

Abstract

Coronavirus Disease or COVID-19 has been a concern for the world, including Indonesia. The very rapid transmission of COVID-19 has had a wide impact on all communities around the world, especially Indonesia. To see the transmission of COVID-19 cases, which continues to increase rapidly, we can use a growth model. The growth model is a non-linear regression model that is used to describe growth behavior. These models can be exponential, sigmoidal, or S-shaped curves. The purpose of this study was to determine the growth curve model of positive COVID-19 cases in Indonesia using the Gompertz, Logistic, and Weibull models. After that, the model evaluation will be carried out using the coefficient of determination as a parameter, so that the best model will be obtained that can predict more accurately the growth of positive COVID-19 cases in Indonesia. The best model that can predict the growth of positive COVID-19 cases in Indonesia is the Gompertz model, with a coefficient of determination is 0.99064.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

sciencestatistics

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Mathematics

Description

Sciencestatistics: Journal of Statistics, Probability, and Its Application is an Open Access journal in the field of statistical inference, experimental design and analysis, survey methods and analysis, research operations, data mining, statistical modeling, statistical updating, time series and ...