Jurnal Ekonomi, Akuntansi dan Perpajakan
Vol. 2 No. 4 (2025): November: Jurnal Ekonomi, Akuntansi, dan Perpajakan (JEAP)

Perbandingan Analisis Tingkat Akurasi Menggunakan Metode Altman Z-Score, Springate, Grover, dan Zmijewski: Studi Kasus pada Perusahaan Delisting di Bursa Efek Indonesia

Ricardo Herendra (Unknown)
Tri Joko Prasetyo (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
13 Oct 2025

Abstract

This study aims to compare and analyze the accuracy levels of four financial distress prediction models—Altman Z-Score, Springate, Grover, and Zmijewski—in anticipating the potential bankruptcy of companies subjected to delisting from the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX). The delisting phenomenon, which is strongly linked to severe financial deterioration, provided the core motivation for identifying the most reliable predictive instrument, utilizing secondary data from the annual financial reports of delisted companies during the 2019-2023 observation period. Descriptive analysis techniques were employed to calculate the accuracy rate and Type Error for each model. The comparative results consistently indicate that the Springate Model is the most effective, consistent, and accurate model for predicting financial distress in delisted firms, achieving an accuracy rate of 89% in both the first and second years prior to delisting, while the Altman Z-Score model exhibited lower accuracy (68.75% and 62.50%). This key finding emphasizes the superiority of the Springate Model as a crucial diagnostic tool for investors and regulatory bodies in assessing corporate bankruptcy risk.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JEAP

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi, Akuntansi, dan Perpajakan (JEAP) diterbitkan oleh Asosiasi Riset Ekonomi dan Akuntansi Indonesia. Jurnal ini terbit 4 kali dalam setahun yaitu pada bulan Februari, Mei, Agustus, November. Jurnal Ekonomi, Akuntansi, dan Perpajakan (JEAP) adalah untuk mendiseminasikan, mengembangkan ...