Jurnal Informatika: Jurnal Pengembangan IT
Vol 10, No 4 (2025)

Prediksi Kebutuhan Beras Di Jawa Timur Menggunakan Metode Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU)

Hozairi, Hozairi (Unknown)
Muhsi, Muhsi (Unknown)
Putri, Nadira Hijriani (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
15 Sep 2025

Abstract

Food security is a strategic issue that affects economic stability and community welfare, especially in ensuring the availability of rice as a staple food in East Java. Uncertainty in food planning can cause an imbalance between rice production and consumption. Consequently, a precise forecast technique is necessary to aid decision-making. The objective of this research is to forecast or predict rice needs using the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model to support more effective food management. The research methods include Min-Max Scaling normalization, and data division into 80% training and 20% testing. The GRU model has two main layers with 64 and 32 neuron units, The system was trained for 100 epochs with a batch size of 32 using the Adam optimizer and the MSE loss function. The evaluation results show high performance with MAE 0.0103, MSE 0.0001, RMSE 0.0116, and R² 0.9935, indicating low error and good generalization. The Training and Validation Loss graph shows a stable learning model without overfitting. This model can be a reliable prediction tool in food planning. Implementation of the model can help the government maintain the balance of rice supply and optimize agricultural policies.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

informatika

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

The scope encompasses the Informatics Engineering, Computer Engineering and information Systems., but not limited to, the following scope: 1. Information Systems Information management e-Government E-business and e-Commerce Spatial Information Systems Geographical Information Systems IT Governance ...