Indonesian Journal of Economy, Business, Entrepreneuship and Finance (IJEBEF)
Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): Indonesian Journal of Economy, Business, Entrepreneuship and Finance

DETERMINAN YIELD OBLIGASI PEMERINTAH INDONESIA

Mukukhawa, Syaffa Alizza (Unknown)
Nirmala, Tiara (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
04 Aug 2025

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the factors influencing the yield movement of Indonesian Government Bonds series FR0070 and the yield's response to macroeconomic shocks. Bonds were chosen because of their relatively fixed income, thus lowering the risk compared to stocks. Therefore, yield changes are an important indicator for investors and market participants. The research method used an error correction model. The results show that the BI-Rate and the exchange rate have a significant positive effect on yield in both the short and long term, while foreign exchange reserves and the volatility index (VIX) have a significant negative effect only in the long term. Inflation has no significant effect in either timeframe. These findings support the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, which states that the return of a security is influenced by several macroeconomic factors. This research is important for investors monitoring yield movements as a tool for bond portfolio management.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

home

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Indonesian Journal of Economy, Business, Entrepreneuship and Finance (IJEBEF) is a peer-refereed open-access National journal which has been established for the dissemination of state-of-the-art knowledge in the field of Economy. Starting from 2021, IJEBEF would be published Three times in a year. ...