Al-Iqtishad : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Syariah (Journal of Islamic Economics)
Vol. 16 No. 2 (2024)

Examinating The Effect of Covid-19 on The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) Anomaly of The Islamic Stock Index in Indonesia

Widodo, Purwanto (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Dec 2024

Abstract

This study aims to determine whether Covid-19 affects the return pattern of the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) and whether the JII return is efficient in accordance with the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). To ensure that the data analysis was in accordance with the objectives, samples were taken from January 1, 2008, to June 28, 2024, with ARCH-GARCH analysis so that the results were consistent and not robust. The findings of this research are as follows: JII returns are efficient because there is no Covid-19 effect and EMH anomaly, where there is no evidence of the day-of-the-week effect, Monday Effect, Friday Effect, or week four effect. In addition, the appropriate model is asymmetric EGARCH (1,1) with non-normal error term distribution. These findings have implications for investors, policy makers, and researchers interested in the performance and behavior of the Islamic stock market, so that in analyzing the stock market more strengthen the fundamental analysis of the company. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengetahui Covid-19 mempengaruhi pola return Jakarta Islamic Index (JII) dan apakah return JII efisien sesuai dengan Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). Untuk menjamin bahwa analisis data sesuai dengan tujuan, maka diambil sampel mulai dari 1 January 2008 sampai dengan 28 Juni, 2024 dengan analisis ARCH-GARCH agar hasilnya konsisten serta tidak robust. Temuan penelitian ini adalah: return JII efisien karena tidak diketemukan adanya pengaruh Covid-19 serta anomaly EMH, dimana tidak terbukti adanya the dayof-the-week effect, Monday Effect, Friday Effect dan week four effect. Selain itu, model yang sesuai adalah asymmetric EGARCH (1,1) dengan distribusi error term non normal. Temuan ini memiliki implikasi bagi investor, pembuat kebijakan, dan peneliti yang tertarik dengan kinerja dan perilaku pasar saham syariah, agar dalam menganalisis pasar saham lebih memperkuat analisis fundamental perusahaan.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

iqtishad

Publisher

Subject

Religion Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

This journal focused on Islamic law on economics and finance studies and present developments through the publication of articles. Specifically, the journal will deal with topics, including but not limited to Islamic law on Islamic Banking, Islamic Marketing, Islamic Human Resources, Islamic ...