Journal of Governance, Taxation, and Auditing
Vol. 4 No. 2 (2025): Journal of Governance, Taxation and Auditing (October - December 2025) -

Forecasting Entertainment Tax Revenue Targets Using Regression and Time-Series Analysis: A Case Study in Sumedang Regency

TRESNAJAYA, Tatan Jaka (Unknown)
SUPRIYADI, Supriyadi (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
23 Dec 2025

Abstract

Local governments in Indonesia are granted fiscal autonomy to manage and optimize regional income sources, including local taxes, as a form of Local Own-Source Revenue (PAD). One such tax is the entertainment tax, which plays a significant role in supporting regional development. This study focuses on identifying key factors that influence entertainment tax revenue in Sumedang Regency, West Java and aims to construct a reliable model for projecting future revenue. Employing a mixed methods approach, the research integrates qualitative analysis—conducted through literature review and document analysis—with quantitative techniques, including multiple linear regression and time-series forecasting. This combination allows for a comprehensive understanding of the determinants of entertainment tax performance and provides a data-driven foundation for more accurate and sustainable fiscal planning at the regional level. The findings indicate that entertainment tax revenue is influenced by the number of entertainment venues, population size, tourist visits, GRDP in the tourism sector, GRDP at current prices (ADHB), BI rate, national inflation rate, and per capita income.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JoGTA

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Journal of Governance, Taxation and Auditing (JoGTA) is a journal developed by PT Keberlanjutan Strategies Indonesia (Sustainability Strategies Indonesia). The International Journal of Environmental, Sustainability and Social Science aims to related to current research on the scope of the journal ...