Jurnal Teknik Informatika C.I.T. Medicom
Vol 17 No 1 (2025): March: Intelligent Decision Support System (IDSS)

A Probabilistic Decision Model for AI-Driven Optimization in Highly Complex Systems

Riandari, Fristi (Unknown)
Panjaitan, Firta Sari (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Mar 2025

Abstract

Highly complex systems such as smart grids, autonomous transportation networks, and large-scale supply chains present significant challenges for optimization due to high dimensionality, nonlinear interactions, and pervasive uncertainty. Traditional deterministic models often fail under dynamic conditions, while many AI-based approaches lack robustness and stability when confronted with noisy or incomplete data. Addressing these issues, this study proposes a probabilistic decision model designed to enhance AI-driven optimization in uncertain and rapidly changing environments. The model integrates probabilistic graphical structures, Bayesian inference, and AI-based optimization techniques to quantify uncertainty and support adaptive decision-making. Experimental evaluations were conducted using a combination of synthetic datasets, simulation environments, and benchmark scenarios representative of real-world complex systems. Results show that the proposed model achieves significantly higher decision accuracy, improved stability under noisy conditions, and more efficient performance in high-dimensional settings compared with classical optimization, reinforcement learning, and standard probabilistic approaches. The model consistently reduces uncertainty and delivers robust, reliable solutions across a wide range of test conditions.The study presents a scalable, interpretable, and highly effective framework for uncertainty-aware optimization. Its strong performance and generalizability highlight its potential for deployment in critical real-world applications where reliability, safety, and adaptability are essential.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

JTI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

The Jurnal Teknik Informatika C.I.T a scientific journal of Decision support sistem , expert system and artificial inteligens which includes scholarly writings on pure research and applied research in the field of information systems and information technology as well as a review-general review of ...