Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori dan Terapan
Vol. 12 No. 4 (2025): November-2025

Macroeconomic, Financial Performance, COVID-19, and the Stability of Islamic Rural Banks: Regional Evidence from Indonesia

Rokhmah, Fatma Nur (Unknown)
Rusgianto, Sulistya (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Nov 2025

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of macroeconomic, financial performance, and the COVID-19 pandemic on the stability of Islamic Rural Banks (BPRS) in Indonesia, as well as to examine the differences in these effects between the Java and non-Java regions. A quantitative approach using panel data regression (Random Effect Model) was applied to data from 100 BPRS during the 2020–2024 period. Financial stability was measured using the Z-score. Macroeconomic variables include provincial inflation and regional GDP growth (PDRB). Financial performance indicators consist of Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Financing-to-Deposit Ratio (FDR), and Non-Performing Financing (NPF), while the COVID-19 dummy variable captures the impact of the pandemic shock. The empirical results show that CAR and NPF have a significant influence on BPRS stability across all regions, while inflation and PDRB are not statistically significant in the aggregate model. The COVID-19 variable exerts a significant negative effect on stability, confirming the pandemic’s disruptive impact on Islamic microfinance. When the model is estimated separately for Java and non-Java regions, the FDR variable demonstrates a stronger and negative effect on stability in non-Java BPRS, indicating structural disparities in liquidity management and risk absorption capacity. These findings underline the importance of region-specific macroprudential and microprudential policies, particularly in enhancing capital strength and liquidity governance among non-Java BPRS. The study contributes to the literature on Islamic financial stability by integrating macroeconomic, financial, and crisis dimensions within a regional framework, offering strategic implications for the Financial Services Authority (OJK) and Bank Indonesia to strengthen the resilience of Islamic microfinance institutions in Indonesia

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JESTT

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah Teori dan Terapan (JESTT) accepts original manuscripts in the field of Islamics Economics, including research reports, case reports, application of theory, critical studies and literature ...