Management Science Research Journal
Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025): November 2025

Adaptive Hedging Strategy on Market Volatility

Hardiyanti, Siti Epa (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Nov 2025

Abstract

Market volatility poses significant challenges to investors and portfolio managers, particularly in periods of uncertainty where asset prices fluctuate sharply. Traditional static hedging strategies often fail to adapt effectively to dynamic market conditions, leading to suboptimal risk mitigation. This study proposes an Adaptive Hedging Strategy (AHS) that integrates real-time volatility estimation and machine learning–based signal processing to optimize hedge ratios dynamically. Using a dataset of equity index futures and options from 2015 to 2024, the research evaluates the performance of AHS against conventional delta and minimum-variance hedging approaches. Results indicate that the adaptive model significantly reduces portfolio variance and Value-at-Risk (VaR), particularly during high-volatility regimes such as the COVID-19 crash and post-2022 inflation shocks. The findings suggest that adaptive strategies can enhance hedging efficiency and provide a more resilient framework for risk management in volatile markets.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

msr

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

The Journal of Management Science Research (MSR) is an International Journal which has committed to publishing empirical and theoretical research articles, that have a high impact on the management field as a whole. The journal encourages new ideas or new perspectives on existing research. The ...