The continuous population growth in Imogiri Sub-district has increased pressure on the availability of residential land, particularly as part of the area is prone to natural hazards that limit spatial utilization. This study applies a quantitative descriptive analysis to estimate the residential carrying capacity over a given period. The results indicate that the residential carrying capacity in the study area remains sufficient for the coming years. The findings provide practical benefits as a reference for both local authorities and communities in planning housing development that aligns with sustainability principles and land-use control. The contribution of this research lies in presenting a model of carrying capacity analysis that integrates population growth with environmental vulnerability, thereby offering novelty in supporting adaptive spatial planning in disaster-prone areas.
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