Journal Technology Information and Data Analytic
Vol 2 No 2 (2025)

Decision Tree Regression Approach to Modeling Dengue, Tuberculosis, and Diarrhea Case Numbers

Muhammad Dzaki Zahirsyah (Darma Persada University)
Timor Setiyaningsih (Darma Persada University)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Dec 2025

Abstract

The increasing incidence of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF), Tuberculosis (TB), and Diarrhea in a district area highlights the urgent need for a data-driven prediction system to support public health policy. This study develops a predictive model of case numbers at the sub-district level using the Decision Tree Regression algorithm within the CRISP-DM methodology. Secondary data from 2020-2023 were utilized, including disease case records (Health Office), demographic data (BPS), and environmental data (BMKG). The system was implemented as a web-based application built with PHP and Python/Flask, enabling dataset management, model retraining, and interactive visualization of predictions, complemented by risk classification and recommended interventions. Experimental results demonstrate high predictive accuracy, with R² values of 0.9130 for TB, 0.8805 for DHF, and 0.8228 for Diarrhea. Overall, the proposed system serves as an objective and measurable decision-support tool, assisting the District Health Office in formulating preventive policies more rapidly and effectively.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

tifda

Publisher

Subject

Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Engineering Library & Information Science Other

Description

Journal of Technology Information and Data Analytic is a scientific journal managed by the Faculty of Engineering, Darma Persada University. TIFDA is an open access journal that provides free access to the full text of all published articles without charging access fees from readers or their ...