Alpha Epsilon Journal of Mathematics
Vol 2 No 1 (2026): January

Prediksi Hasil Produksi Padi di Kabupaten Pamekasan Menggunakan Semi Average

Anis Fitriyah (Universitas Annuqayah)
Siti Khotijah (Universitas Annuqayah)



Article Info

Publish Date
22 Jan 2026

Abstract

This study aims to predict the amount of rice production in Pamekasan Regency using the Semi Average method. The data used are secondary data obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) of Pamekasan Regency, covering the observation period from 2015 to 2024. The analysis process began with processing historical rice production data using the method, followed by an evaluation of forecasting accuracy using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The results of the analysis indicate that the Semi Average method produces a forecasting pattern with a MAPE value of 46.62%, which falls into the fair category based on MAPE interpretation, indicating a moderate level of accuracy. The results of this study are expected to serve as a reference for agricultural sector planning, particularly in managing sustainable rice production in Pamekasan Regency.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

aejm

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Alpha Epsilon Journal of Mathematics is an academic journal published by the Mathematics Study Program, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Annuqayah. The journal is published twice a year, in January and July. Alpha Epsilon Journal of Mathematics is open access, allowing anyone ...