Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management
Vol. 5 No. 5 (2025): Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management

Determinants of Profitability in Non-Financial Sectors: a Panel Data and Machine Learning Analysis of Indonesian Firms from 2012 to 2023

Christian, Boedy (Unknown)
Budhidharma, Valentino (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Dec 2025

Abstract

Profitability is a crucial measure of financial stability and operational success for firms. In Indonesia, the capital market has grown significantly, with the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) reaching a market capitalization of IDR 11.67 quadrillion by 2023. However, there remains a gap in studies that comprehensively analyze the determinants of profitability across all non-financial sectors in Indonesia. This research aims to identify and analyze the determinants of profitability in Indonesian non-financial companies using both traditional panel data regression and machine learning techniques. Using quarterly data from 816 non-financial companies listed on the IDX from 2012 to 2023, this study employs panel regression with a fixed effects model and Driscoll-Kraay standard errors. Return on assets (ROA) and earnings per share (EPS) are employed as profitability measures, while firm size (LSIZE), company efficiency (CE), liquidity (LIQ), market power (MP), sales growth (SG), and sustainable growth rate (LSGR) are investigated as explanatory variables. Results from the panel regression analysis reveal that, except for LIQ, all variables have a positive and significant impact on profitability. The analysis is further refined using machine learning techniques, specifically Random Forest, XGBoost, and a deep learning neural network, which conclude that the most important variable influencing ROA is company efficiency, while the most important variable influencing EPS is firm size

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jrssem

Publisher

Subject

Environmental Science

Description

The Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management is a double-blind peer-reviewed academic journal and has open access to social and scientific fields. The journal is published monthly once by CV. Publikasi Indonesia. The Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management ...