JURNAL DINAMIKA EKONOMI PEMBANGUNAN
Vol 8 (2025): Special Issue: Call for Paper Pusaka Jateng

Building an Intelligent System for Food Distribution Empowered by AI: Tackling Surplus–Deficit Inequality in the Barlingmascakeb Agglomeration

Harun Al Azies (Study Program in Informatics Engineering, Faculty of Computer Science, Universitas Dian Nuswantoro, Semarang, and Research Center for Quantum Computing and Materials Informatics, Faculty of Computer Science, Universitas Dian Nuswantoro, Semarang)
Ananta Surya Pratama (Study Program in Informatics Engineering, Faculty of Computer Science, Universitas Dian Nuswantoro, Semarang)
Taufiqul Umam (Study Program in Informatics Engineering, Faculty of Computer Science, Universitas Dian Nuswantoro, Semarang)
Muhammad Diva Irnanda (Study Program in Informatics Engineering, Faculty of Computer Science, Universitas Dian Nuswantoro, Semarang)



Article Info

Publish Date
17 Jan 2026

Abstract

Food distribution disparities remain a persistent challenge in the Barlingmascakeb region (Banyumas, Cilacap, Purbalingga, Banjarnegara, and Kebumen), where socio-economic and infrastructural factors drive regional inequalities. This study applies a machine learning–based classification approach to identify sub-districts categorised as food surplus or deficit. The dataset, initially imbalanced, was balanced using the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE), followed by training and evaluating four ensemble algorithms: AdaBoost, Gradient Boosting, XGBoost, and CatBoost. Among the tested models, AdaBoost demonstrated the best overall performance with an accuracy of 0.9565, precision of 1.00, recall of 0.8333, and F1-score of 0.9091. Gradient Boosting achieved a more balanced recall (0.8333) than XGBoost and CatBoost, although with lower precision. Based on the Gradient Boosting model, Feature importance analysis identified the Food Security Index as the most critical determinant of food status, followed by clean water access, morbidity rate, health workforce availability, and poverty levels. This study offers a novel contribution by providing a high-resolution, sub-district-level classification of food surplus and deficit conditions using interpretable ensemble machine learning models integrated with multidimensional socio-economic and health indicators. Practically, the model supports targeted and data-driven food distribution policies; theoretically, it reinforces the multifaceted nature of food security beyond production alone; and for future research, it opens opportunities to extend the framework to spatio-temporal and optimization-based food distribution models.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

dinamika_pembangunan

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Jurnal Dinamika Ekonomi Pembangunan published by Department of Economics and Development Studies Faculty of Economics and Business, Diponegoro University. Jurnal Dinamika Ekonomi Pembangunan published three times a year contains scientific articles that discuss state of the art theory and empirical ...