JITCoS : Journal of Information Technology and Computer System
Vol. 1 No. 2 (2025): Journal of Information Technology and Computer System

Simulation of Budget Allocation for Stunting Reduction Programs in West Aceh Regency using a Linear Regression Model

Laila Nurzanah (Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara)
Tia Ramadani (Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara)
Hartomo Ranomiharjo (Universitas Diponegoro)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Dec 2025

Abstract

Stunting remains a national priority issue in Indonesia, and West Aceh Regency is one of the regions facing this challenge. The success of stunting reduction programs heavily depends on effective and well-targeted budget allocation. This study aims to develop a budget allocation simulation model for stunting reduction programs in West Aceh Regency using Multiple Linear Regression. Historical program and budget data from the template-data-kabupaten-aceh-barat-stunting.csv dataset were used to train the model. Features such as year, program category (Infrastructure, Empowerment, Health, Other), program name, and a priority score were analyzed to predict the budget amount. The model fitting results show very high performance, with an Adjusted R-squared of 0.989 and an F-statistic of 298.6 (p < 0.001), indicating the model significantly explains the variability in budget allocation. The prioritas (priority) variable was found to be the most statistically significant predictor (p = 0.000). This model was then used to simulate an optimal budget allocation for 2025, with a total recommended budget of IDR 36.50 Billion. The main recommendation focuses on the "Program for Fulfilling Health Efforts" with a simulated allocation of IDR 33.75 Billion. This research demonstrates the potential of predictive modeling as a data-driven decision-making tool for local governments in planning budgets for stunting interventions. Furthermore, this study underscores the critical importance of shifting from historical-based budgeting to evidence-based allocation methods to accelerate national stunting reduction goals effectively.

Copyrights © 2025






Journal Info

Abbrev

jitcos

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering

Description

JITCoS: Journal of Information Technology and Computer System is a peer-reviewed scholarly journal that aims to advance the theory and practice of information technology and computer systems. The journal seeks high-quality contributions from researchers, academics, and industry professionals that ...