Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi)
Vol. 15 No. 1 (2026)

HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA PERDAGANGAN INTERNASIONAL, INDUSTRIALISASI DAN PEMBANGUNAN EKONOMI BERKELANJUTAN DI ASIA

Titaley, Meiske Marisa Fafan (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
12 Feb 2026

Abstract

Introduction: This investigation examines the intricate causal nexus among international trade liberalization, industrial transformation, and sustainable economic advancement across Asian countries from 2000 to 2023.Methods: Employing panel data regression methods, including fixed-effects models, this quantitative inquiry analyzes secondary datasets from the World Bank's Development Indicators and the Asian Development Bank, incorporating Granger causality testing and impulse-response function analysis across Southeast and East Asian nations.Results: Empirical evidence reveals bidirectional causality between trade openness and industrialization, with coefficients of 0.347 (p<0.01), demonstrating reciprocal reinforcement mechanisms. Industrialization has dual effects on sustainability dimensions: it increases human development indices by 0.428 percent while simultaneously increasing carbon emissions by 0.561 percent per 1 percent increase in manufacturing value added. Threshold analysis identifies a critical inflection point at USD 8,500 per capita GDP where industrialization-environment trajectories reverse, corroborating Environmental Kuznets Curve hypotheses. Variance decomposition indicates trade liberalization explicates 34.7 percent of industrial variation, while industrialization accounts for 28.4 percent of sustainability outcome fluctuations.Conclusion: Findings necessitate recalibrating policy toward integrative frameworks that harmonize trade expansion, sustainable industrial upgrading, and ecological preservation through green technology adoption and strengthened regional institutional governance. Keywords: Asian Economies, Economic Development, Environmental Sustainability, Sustainable Industrialization, Trade Liberalization

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

JurnalManeksi

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Yth Pengelola Garuda Kami Editor Jurnal maneksi memohon agar nama jurnal kami disesuaikan dengan nama jurnal yang ada di ISSN Brin dari Jurnal Maneksi menjadi Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi), karena hal ini menjadi masukan ketika kami mengajukan akreditasi jurnal kami. Atas bantuan ...