JOMLAI: Journal of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence
Vol. 4 No. 4 (2025): Desember 2025

Quantum-Entropy NARX (Q-ENARX): A Mathematical Framework for Forecasting Based on Quantum Information Theory and Nonlinear Dynamic Regularization

Tengku Reza Suka Alaqsa (Unknown)
Syarifah Adriana (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
20 Dec 2025

Abstract

This study addresses the limitations of conventional nonlinear autoregressive models, which struggle to maintain stability and generalization in high-dimensional, non-stationary forecasting environments. The research aims to develop a mathematical framework that integrates deterministic dynamics with probabilistic uncertainty through the proposed Quantum-Entropy NARX (Q-ENARX) model. The methodology combines nonlinear autoregressive modeling, entropy-based trust-region optimization, and quantum information theory to establish a unified formulation for dynamic forecasting. The model embeds NARX states into a quantum Hilbert space, introduces an entropy-regularized loss function to balance accuracy and uncertainty, and employs a quantum Fisher Information Matrix for curvature-aware optimization. Analytical derivations reveal that Q-ENARX achieves enhanced stability, improved generalization, and robust convergence by leveraging quantum state dynamics, entropy-energy duality, and fractional learning operators. The results shows that the integration of entropy and quantum principles transforms traditional NARX forecasting into a probabilistically interpretable and physically grounded framework capable of capturing complex temporal correlations with high mathematical precision.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jomlai

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

Focus and Scope JOMLAI: Journal of Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence is a scientific journal related to machine learning and artificial intelligence that contains scientific writings on pure research and applied research in the field of machine learning and artificial intelligence as well ...