Journal of Physics and Its Applications
Vol 8, No 1 (2026): February 2026

Estimation of Geothermal Energy Potential Using Monte Carlo Simulation at Jaboi Geothermal Field, Indonesia

Darisma, Dian (Unknown)
Turhamun, Rais Amsal (Unknown)
Masrurah, Zakia (Unknown)
Salsabila, Rifa Salma (Unknown)
Marwan, Marwan (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Feb 2026

Abstract

Geothermal energy is an alternative solution for countries looking for renewable energy. However, energy potential estimation must be estimated before a drilling step to avoid drilling failure or financial loss. Monte Carlo simulation can be performed coupled with a volumetric method to calculate geothermal energy potential. This study aims to estimate the geothermal energy potential of the Jaboi geothermal field. The parameters used in this study were derived from previous studies and various references. Two scenarios are designed to extract the geothermal energy over 25 and 30 years. For the first scenario, 25 years, we obtained 34,51 MWe (P10), 48.28 MWe (P50), and 67.45 MWe (P90). For the second scenario, 30 years, we obtained 28.84 MWe (P10), 40.19 MWe (P50), and 56.20 Mwe (P90). The sensitivity analysis was then performed to determine which parameters significantly affect geothermal energy estimation. The results indicate that reservoir thickness is the most sensitive parameter. Therefore, determining this parameter must be done carefully.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jpa

Publisher

Subject

Astronomy Earth & Planetary Sciences Materials Science & Nanotechnology Physics

Description

Journal of Physics and Its Applications (JPA) (e-ISSN: 2622-5956) is open access, International peer-reviewed journal that publishes high-novelty and original research papers and review papers in the field of physics including Radiation Physics, Materials, Geophysics, Theoretical Physics, ...