Indonesian Financial Review
Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025)

Macroeconomic Sensitivity and Capital Structure Effects on Defensive Stock Valuation: Evidence from PT HM Sampoerna Tbk (2013–2024)

Sari, D. Sintiani Novita (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Mar 2026

Abstract

This study investigates the macroeconomic sensitivity and capital structure effect on stock valuation within a defensive industry context. Using annual time-series data from 2013–2024, this research examines the influence of inflation and the Debt-to-Equity Ratio (DER) on the stock price of PT HM Sampoerna Tbk. Employing multiple linear regression with classical assumption diagnostics, the findings reveal that inflation exerts a positive and statistically significant effect on stock price (? = 10,553.368; p < 0.05), while DER shows no significant influence. The model explains 31.9% of stock price variation (Adjusted R² = 0.319). The results suggest that in industries characterized by inelastic demand and strong pricing power, inflation may function as a value-supporting factor rather than a risk signal. This study extends capital structure and macro-finance literature by demonstrating context-dependent inflation effects in emerging defensive markets.  

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IFR

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The intent of the Editors of The Indonesia Financial Review is to discuss, explore, and disseminate the latest issues and developments in Empirical Financial Economics (JEL classification: G), particularly those related to financial frictions in the Emerging Markets. The others are accepted such as ...