Journal of Technomaterial Physics
Vol. 8 No. 1 (2026): Journal of Technomaterial Physics

Preliminary Analysis of Machine Learning Performance and the Effect of Outliers in Daily Rainfall Classification in Jambi City

Naufal, Muhammad Risyad (Unknown)
Erni (Unknown)
Marathur Rodhiyah (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
10 Mar 2026

Abstract

Rainfall is a crucial meteorological parameter that significantly affects various sectors, particularly in tropical regions such as Jambi City. However, daily rainfall data often contain outliers and imbalanced class distributions, which can degrade the performance of machine learning-based classification models. This study aims to conduct a preliminary analysis of the performance of several machine learning algorithms for daily rainfall classification in Jambi City by examining the effects of outlier removal. The algorithms evaluated include Support Vector Machine (RBF), K-Nearest Neighbor, Naive Bayes, Decision Tree, and Random Forest. Model performance was assessed using accuracy and macro F1-score metrics. The rainfall classes used in this study consist of four categories: no rain, light rain, moderate rain, and heavy rain. The results indicate that outlier removal improves the accuracy of all evaluated algorithms, with the most substantial improvement observed in the Decision Tree model with accuracy improved from 45.71% to 57.36% and macro F1-score from 28.99% to 38.78%. Overall, the implementation of outlier removal yields more balanced and representative rainfall classification results, potentially serving as a basis for future quantitative rainfall regression studies.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JoTP

Publisher

Subject

Astronomy Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Control & Systems Engineering Earth & Planetary Sciences Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Materials Science & Nanotechnology Physics

Description

Journal of Technomaterial Physics (JoTP) is a peer-review national journal that is published twice a year, in February and August. JoTP provides an open access policy for the writer and free publication charge. Due to its open access policy, JoTP serves online publication and a fast review process. ...