Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Matematika
Vol 5, No 4 (2026): Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Matematika

Deep Neural Network-Based Student Performance Prediction with Hessian-Free Optimization

Irawan, Andy (Unknown)
Abidin, Zainal (Unknown)
Jamhuri, Mohammad (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2026

Abstract

Predicting student graduation predicates is important for academic monitoring and timely intervention in higher education. This study investigates graduation predicate prediction using deep neural networks under three feature-group settings: academic-only, non-academic-only, and combined academicnon-academic features. A multilayer perceptron with three hidden layers was trained using SGD with momentum, RMSProp, Adam, and a damped Hessian-free optimization procedure. Two tasks were considered: a four-class graduation predicate classification task and a binary risk-screening task in which Sufficient was treated as the positive risk class. The results show that the combined feature group achieved the best multiclass performance, with an accuracy of 0.8478 and a weighted F1-score of 0.8274. Hessian-free optimization consistently produced the best results across all feature-group scenarios, with the clearest gain appearing in the non-academic-only setting. In the additional risk-screening analysis, non-academic variables provided meaningful but limited predictive signal, and Major emerged as the strongest individual predictor. These findings show that combining academic and non-academic information improves graduation predicate prediction and that Hessian-free optimization is an effective training strategy for deep neural classification in educational data.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jrmm

Publisher

Subject

Mathematics

Description

Jurnal Riset Mahasiswa Matematika (JRMM) publishes current research articles in any area of Mathematics Research such as graph labelings, modeling, statistics, actuaria, optimal network problems, metric dimension, graph coloring, rainbow connection and other related topics. JRMM is published six ...