Jurnal Penelitian Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Vol. 11 No. 1 (2026): March 2026

Dynamics of Macroeconomic Variables on Syariah Stock Returns in Asean Region: ARDL Analysis

R., Abdul Azis (Unknown)
Kasim, Muhammad Yunus (Unknown)
Dwijaya, I Kadek Belyoni (Unknown)
Andriani, Nini (Unknown)
Utami, Ayu Putri (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
31 Mar 2026

Abstract

This study investigates the temporal impact of macroeconomic indicators specifically inflation, GDP growth, and foreign exchange reserves on Islamic stock returns within the ASEAN region, focusing on both short-term and long-term effects. Employing a quantitative approach with a causal design, the research utilizes the ARDL Panel model to analyze quarterly data from Sharia stock indices in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Singapore spanning 2014 to 2023. The findings indicate that inflation negatively affects Islamic stock returns in the long term, while its short-term impact is minimal. In contrast, economic growth is found to enhance Islamic stock returns in both timeframes. Regarding foreign exchange reserves, the analysis reveals a negative long-term effect but a positive short-term effect. These conclusions highlight the importance for investors and regulators to consider macroeconomic dynamics when developing investment strategies

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jpeb

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

JPEB is a periodical publication (two times a year, in March and September) with the primary objective to disseminate scientific articles in the fields of management, economics, accounting, and islamic economics. JPEB is accept your manuscript both written in Indonesian or ...