Shirkah: Journal of Economics and Business
Vol. 10 No. 2 (2025)

The Role of Monetary Sterilization Mechanisms in Achieving Monetary Stability in Iraq: An Econometric Analysis

Kovan Tamar Ghazi (College of Administration and Economics, University of Zakho, Kurdistan Region)
Hivi Azeez Sabri (College of Administration and Economics, University of Zakho, Kurdistan Region)
Bahaa Mohammed Khalid (College of Administration and Economics, University of Zakho, Kurdistan Region)



Article Info

Publish Date
17 Mar 2025

Abstract

Achieving monetary stability remains a critical challenge for Iraq, primarily due to its heavy reliance on oil revenues and heightened vulnerability to external financial shocks. The volatility of global oil prices and frequent fiscal imbalances have complicated the Central Bank of Iraq’s (CBI) efforts to maintain monetary equilibrium. This study investigates the effectiveness of the monetary sterilization mechanism in stabilizing Iraq’s monetary environment between 2004 and 2023. Using annual data from official sources, primarily the CBI, the research employs an econometric approach, integrating a deductive methodology with descriptive analysis and quantitative modelling. The study estimates the sterilization coefficient and evaluates its impact on key monetary indicators, including inflation and exchange rate stability. The findings reveal that sterilization policies have a statistically significant effect on short-term monetary stability, mitigating immediate price and currency volatility. However, the long-term impact is statistically insignificant, largely due to structural economic limitations, such as the predominance of oil exports, shallow financial markets, and restricted monetary policy tools. The empirical results suggest that Iraq practices partial rather than full sterilization, leading to residual inflationary and deflationary pressures. The study recommends developing more diverse and sustainable monetary policy instruments, strengthening coordination between monetary and fiscal policies, and promoting economic diversification to achieve enduring monetary stability.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

home

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Syirkah: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis adalah jurnal peer-review yang diterbitkan tiga kali setahun (April, Agustus, dan Desember) oleh Fakultas Ekonomi Islam dan Bisnis Institut Agama Islam Negeri (IAIN) Surakarta Jawa Tengah Indonesia bekerja sama dengan Perhimpunan Indonesia Ekonom Islam (lihat ...