JASDS: Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science
Vol. 2 No. 1 (2025): Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science

Optimizer Performance Test on CNN Long Short-Term Memory Network for Car Sales Forecasting




Article Info

Publish Date
28 Mar 2025

Abstract

In the automotive industry, forecasting future demand is particularly crucial due to the complexity of production processes and supply chains. This article examines the comparative performance of a hybrid CNN-LSTM model for car sales forecasting, utilizing seven optimization algorithms: Adam, RMSprop, SGD, Adagrad, Adadelta, Adamax, and Nadam. Each optimization method has its own advantages. For instance, Adam offers fast convergence, while RMSprop is more effective in handling large gradient fluctuations. Adagrad is well-suited for managing gradient magnitude variations, whereas Adadelta addresses Adagrad’s limitations. Adamax is ideal for models with a broader parameter space, and Nadam combines Nesterov Accelerated Gradient and Adam, making it suitable for tasks requiring both momentum and adaptive learning. This study demonstrates that the CNN-LSTM model optimized with Nadam delivers the best performance, achieving a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 35,383.14 and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 188.10. In comparison, traditional methods such as ARIMA yield an MSE of 59,105.94 and an RMSE of 243.11. These findings indicate that the CNN-LSTM model optimized with Nadam outperforms conventional time series forecasting methods in predictive accuracy.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jasds

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Mathematics

Description

JASDS : Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science (e-ISSN: 3048-4391) is a journal managed by Universitas Brawijaya , Malang, Indonesia, and associated with FORSTAT (Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika) which is published twice a year (in March and October). The objectives of Journal of Applied ...