Journal of Economics
Vol 6 No 1 (2026): April 2026

The PENGARUH BI RATE DAN JUMLAH UANG BEREDAR TERHADAP INFLASI DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2010-2024

Rio Firas Doras Talo Cipto (Universitas Negeri Surabaya)
Ladi Wajuba Perdini Fisabilillah (Universitas Negeri Surabaya)



Article Info

Publish Date
19 Apr 2026

Abstract

This quantitative study analyzes the effect of the BI Rate and Money Supply (JUB) on Inflation in Indonesia from 2010-2024 using monthly data and multiple linear regression (OLS). The partial test results show The BI Rate has a positive and significant effect on inflation, which deviates from theory and is likely influenced by policy time lag. JUB has a negative and significant effect on inflation, contradicting the quantity theory of money, indicated by liquidity absorption in the non-real sector or saving behavior. Simultaneously, the BI Rate and JUB significantly influence inflation, with the model explaining 49.89% of the variation. This study concludes that the monetary transmission mechanism in Indonesia does not always align with conventional theory and requires policies that consider time lag and structural conditions.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

independent

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The scope of Independent: Journal of Economics are strictly but not limited to: Economics Development Economics Monetary Economics Public Economics Institutional ...