Journal of Economics and Economic Policy
Vol. 3 No. 2 (2026): Journal of Economics and Economic Policy

THE TODA–YAMAMOTO CAUSALITY ANALYSIS OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION AND ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN IRAQ (2000–2023)

Soleiman, Hifaa Yousif (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
25 Apr 2026

Abstract

Objective: This study sought to uncover the nature of the bidirectional causal relationship between natural gas production and electricity consumption in Iraq during 2000–2023 by employing the Toda–Yamamoto causality test, a key method for revealing relationships between economic time series with varying degrees of integration. Method: This study sought to uncover the nature of the bidirectional causal relationship between natural gas production and electricity consumption in Iraq during 2000–2023 by employing the Toda–Yamamoto causality test, a key method for revealing relationships between economic time series with varying degrees of integration. Results: The results of the Toda–Yamamoto causality test revealed a bidirectional relationship: an increase in natural gas production contributes to an increase in electricity consumption in Iraq, and an increase in electricity production and consumption contributes to an increase in natural gas production. These results confirm the importance of interdependence between the two sectors and that neither can grow without the other. Novelty: One of the most important recommendations from the research is the need for optimal utilisation of associated gas, which is automatically extracted with crude oil. The proportion of gas flared without being utilised amounts to approximately 20% of the gas produced in Iraq by 2025. This is a significant figure; associated gas must be optimally utilised for electricity production, thereby reducing reliance on gas imported from neighbouring countries.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IJEC

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

The Journal of Economics and Economic Policy is a monthly publication at the forefront of economic scholarship, offering a diverse and comprehensive exploration of contemporary economic issues. With a commitment to excellence, the journal provides a platform for leading economists, researchers, and ...