Indonesian Financial Review
Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025)

Digital Payments, QRIS Growth, and State-Owned Bank Portfolio Returns in Indonesia

Bisri, Bisri (Unknown)
Siwi, Herlin Wida (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2026

Abstract

This study examines whether QRIS growth and digital payment activity are associated with the equal-weight stock-return portfolio of Indonesian state-owned banks. Using a balanced exact-month sample of 12 observations drawn from official Bank Indonesia publications and market data, the article places correlation analysis at the center of the empirical design and treats parsimonious OLS-HC3 regressions as supporting evidence only. The results show that QRIS growth has a near-zero association with portfolio returns, while logged digital payment activity displays only a weak and unstable relationship once simple macro controls are introduced. These findings suggest that aggregate payment-system expansion should not be interpreted as an immediate stand-alone signal for short-run stock returns in state-owned banks. The article contributes by offering a cautious measurement-first design for Indonesian digital-finance research and by showing that policy-relevant payment-system deepening does not necessarily translate into contemporaneous market revaluation within a small balanced monthly window.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IFR

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The intent of the Editors of The Indonesia Financial Review is to discuss, explore, and disseminate the latest issues and developments in Empirical Financial Economics (JEL classification: G), particularly those related to financial frictions in the Emerging Markets. The others are accepted such as ...