SRIWIJAYA INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DYNAMIC ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS
SIJDEB, Vol. 9, No. 4, December 2025

Geopolitical Effect: Investor Sentiment And Stock Returns Admist Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

Cholil, Muhammad (Unknown)
Prasetyo, Ari (Unknown)
Rosdi, Mohd Syakir Bin Mohd (Unknown)
Setianingsih, Hesti Eka (Unknown)
Fauziyah, Nurul (Unknown)
Hasyim, Fuad (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
21 Apr 2026

Abstract

The Israeli–Palestinian conflict represents a major geopolitical event that can trigger uncertainty and volatility in global financial markets. This study investigates the impact of the conflict on investor sentiment and stock returns by comparing the stability of sharia and conventional stock markets in five Southeast Asian countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and the Philippines). Using an event study approach with a 101-day event window surrounding October 7, 2023, this study examines abnormal returns before and after the conflict escalation. The findings reveal that conventional stock markets exhibit more frequent significant abnormal returns, indicating higher sensitivity to geopolitical shocks, whereas sharia stock markets demonstrate greater stability with fewer significant reactions. Furthermore, while no significant difference in abnormal returns is found in conventional markets before and after the event, sharia markets show a significant difference, suggesting a more controlled but responsive reaction to new information. These results extend the risk-as-feelings theory by showing that emotional responses to geopolitical uncertainty are more contained within sharia-compliant investment frameworks. The study contributes to the literature by providing comparative evidence from Southeast Asia and offers practical insights for investors seeking more resilient investment strategies during periods of geopolitical instability.Ā 

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Journal Info

Abbrev

SIJDEB

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The SIJDEB invites manuscripts in the various topics include, but not limited to functional areas of Financial Management, Marketing Management, Human Resource Management, Entrepreneurship, Strategic Management, Public Economics, Monetary Economics, Industrial Economics, Human Resource Economics, ...