JURIKOM (Jurnal Riset Komputer)
Vol. 13 No. 2 (2026): April 2026

Integrasi Faktor Iklim dan Lingkungan untuk Prediksi Risiko DBD di Kota Palembang Menggunakan Pendekatan GeoAI Berbasis LSTM

Tia Arlin Dita (Unknown)
Ali Ibrahim (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2026

Abstract

Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) remains a significant vector-borne disease threat to public health in Palembang. This study aims to analyze the environmental and demographic factors influencing DHF risk and predict risk trends using a GeoAI approach. Four primary variables land surface temperature, rainfall, population density, and residential area were integrated to develop a DHF risk index for the 2020 - 2025 period. The analysis reveals that the risk index consistently falls within the high category across all regions, showing a gradual upward trend from 0.517 in 2020 to 0.527 in 2025. To project future risks, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model was employed. Model evaluation demonstrated robust performance with a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0028, a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.052, and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.031, indicating low error rates and stable predictive capability. Prediction results suggest that DHF risk is expected to continue increasing through 2029, particularly in sub-districts with high population density and expanding residential areas. This research provides a scientific contribution by developing a predictive model that is more adaptive and precise than conventional statistical approaches. Through the integration of artificial intelligence and spatial data (GeoAI), this model effectively captures non-linear patterns and spatio temporal dynamics, serving as a sustainable early warning system.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jurikom

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

JURIKOM (Jurnal Riset Komputer) membahas ilmu dibidang Informatika, Sistem Informasi, Manajemen Informatika, DSS, AI, ES, Jaringan, sebagai wadah dalam menuangkan hasil penelitian baik secara konseptual maupun teknis yang berkaitan dengan Teknologi Informatika dan Komputer. Topik utama yang ...