JURIKOM (Jurnal Riset Komputer)
Vol. 13 No. 2 (2026): April 2026

Prediksi Harga Tandan Buah Segar Kelapa Sawit Menggunakan Fuzzy Mamdani

Herman Santoso Pakpahan (Unknown)
Nilda Amriani (Unknown)
Yuniarta Basani (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2026

Abstract

Fluctuations in the price of Fresh Fruit Bunches (FFB) of palm oil remain a problem in the pricing process because they are influenced by several dynamically changing economic factors. This study aims to apply the Mamdani Fuzzy Logic method to predict FFB prices by considering data uncertainty and relationships between variables that are not always linear. The variables used include the K Index, Crude Palm Oil (CPO) price, CPO ratio (R-CPO), palm kernel price (IS), and palm kernel ratio (R-IS). All variables are processed in a rule-based fuzzy inference system using MATLAB, then validated through a comparison between manual calculations and simulation results. The scientific contribution of this study lies in the application of a FFB price prediction system that integrates several key economic indicators in one Mamdani Fuzzy model, as well as the use of double validation to ensure the consistency of the calculation process. The test results show a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value of 18.7%, which is included in the good category and indicates that the model is able to follow the actual data pattern with an acceptable error rate. The comparison of the manual calculation result of 2499.13 and the MATLAB result of 2570 shows a relatively small difference, thus supporting the consistency of the method used. With its rule-based and easily traceable characteristics, the Fuzzy Mamdani method can be the basis for an interpretive and applicable decision support system to help predict FFB prices in the palm oil plantation sector.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jurikom

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering

Description

JURIKOM (Jurnal Riset Komputer) membahas ilmu dibidang Informatika, Sistem Informasi, Manajemen Informatika, DSS, AI, ES, Jaringan, sebagai wadah dalam menuangkan hasil penelitian baik secara konseptual maupun teknis yang berkaitan dengan Teknologi Informatika dan Komputer. Topik utama yang ...