Jurnal Simetris
Vol. 17 No. 1 (2026): JURNAL SIMETRIS VOLUME 17 NO 1 TAHUN 2026

Product Sales Prediction Using the Sarimax Method: A Time Series Data-Based Approach

Susanto, Mario Given (Unknown)
Salam, Abu (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Apr 2026

Abstract

This research aims to develop an accurate and reliable product sales prediction model using the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with Exogenous variables (SARIMAX) method. This approach is based on time series data analysis that takes into account seasonal patterns, trends, and external factors that can affect sales. Historical product sales data is analyzed to identify underlying patterns and then used to train the SARIMAX model. The results show that the SARIMAX model is able to provide accurate sales predictions with a relatively low error rate. Significant seasonal and external factors were also identified, providing valuable insights for business decision-making regarding sales strategy and inventory management. This research concludes that the SARIMAX method is an effective tool for time series data-based product sales prediction. The implementation of this model can assist companies in optimizing business operations and improving competitiveness in the market.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

simet

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT

Description

Jurnal Simetris terbit dua kali dalam satu tahun, yaitu untuk periode April dan periode November. Naskah yang diajukan adalah karya ilmiah orisinal penulis dalam bidang teknik elektro, teknik mesin atau ilmu komputer, yang belum pernah diterbitkan dan tidak sedang diajukan untuk diterbitan di ...