Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics
Vol 4 No 2 (2026): Mikailalsys Journal of Mathematics and Statistics

Mathematical Modelling of Kidnapping Activities

Tasiu, A. R. (Unknown)
O, Kabir (Unknown)
Muhammad, Aminu (Unknown)
Ayu, M. S. (Unknown)
Ishaq, M. M. (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
30 Mar 2026

Abstract

Kidnapping has become one of the most severe security challenges in Nigeria, particularly in the northern regions, where it has evolved into a profitable criminal enterprise. This study develops a mathematical model to analyze the dynamics and control of kidnapping activities. The population is classified into five compartments: susceptible individuals, exposed individuals, informants, kidnappers, and repentant kidnappers. The model describes the transition of individuals from vulnerability to involvement as informants or kidnappers, as well as the possibility of repentance through rehabilitation. A basic reproduction number, (R_0), is derived to determine whether kidnapping activities will persist or decline. The analysis indicates that kidnapping can be eliminated when (R_0 < 1), whereas (R_0 > 1) implies its continued persistence. Numerical simulations further show that increasing the rehabilitation rate of kidnappers promotes repentance, while strengthening intelligence gathering through informants and reducing recruitment into kidnapping significantly suppress the expansion of this criminal activity. The study concludes that the proposed model provides useful quantitative insight into the mechanisms driving kidnapping and offers practical implications for policy interventions aimed at reducing kidnapping in Nigeria.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

MJMS

Publisher

Subject

Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering

Description

The journal contains scientific articles covering topics such as mathematical theory, statistical methods, the application of mathematics in various disciplines, and statistical data analysis. The primary objective of this journal is to promote a better understanding of mathematical and statistical ...