Shirkah: Journal of Economics and Business
Vol. 11 No. 1 (2026)

Muslim Population Share, Religious Demography, and Economic Development Patterns in Muslim-Majority Countries: A Cross-Country Exploratory Study

Lathif Hanafir Rifqi (Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Walisongo Semarang)
Musahadi Musahadi (Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Walisongo, Semarang)
Muchlis Yahya (Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Walisongo, Semarang)
Ana Zahrotun Nihayah (Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Walisongo, Semarang)
Tanjeel Ahmed (Department of Economics, Aligarh Muslim University)
Siti Mujibatun (Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Walisongo, Semarang)



Article Info

Publish Date
14 May 2026

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between Muslim population share and selected development indicators in Muslim-majority countries through a non-causal, exploratory cross-country approach. Using secondary data from 44 Muslim-majority countries (2019–2024), this study examines statistical associations between religious demography and three development indicators: per capita income, income inequality (Gini index), and Human Development Index (HDI), using data obtained from the Pew Research Center, the World Bank, and United Nations Development Program (UNDP), ensuring comparability and reliability across countries. The data were analyzed through Pearson correlation to determine associations among variables. The findings reveal moderate negative associations between Muslim population share and both per capita income and HDI, whereas the relationship with income inequality appears weak and statistically insignificant. However, the results do not support causal interpretations, as considerable heterogeneity exists across countries with similar religious demographic compositions. These findings suggest that development outcomes in Muslim-majority countries are shaped more by institutional and structural factors than by religious demography alone, emphasizing the importance of a broader macro-level understanding of religion–development linkages

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

home

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

Syirkah: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis adalah jurnal peer-review yang diterbitkan tiga kali setahun (April, Agustus, dan Desember) oleh Fakultas Ekonomi Islam dan Bisnis Institut Agama Islam Negeri (IAIN) Surakarta Jawa Tengah Indonesia bekerja sama dengan Perhimpunan Indonesia Ekonom Islam (lihat ...