Journal of Innovation in Business and Economics
Vol. 10 No. 01 (2026): Journal of Innovation in Business and Economics

The trade openness puzzle: insights into economic growth dynamics in ASEAN+3 economies

Nora Ria Retnasih (Management Department, Faculty of Economics, UIN Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
04 Nov 2025

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the relationship between economic openness, as measured by trade index, import, export, gross capital formation, and economic growth, in the ASEAN+3 region during the period 2012-2022 using the Panel Vector Autoregression (PVAR) model. The results show that Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is significantly influenced by trade index, export, and import. In addition, exports are influenced by the trade and import index, while imports are influenced by the trade and export index. Gross capital formation is also found to have a significant effect on GDP, trade index, import, and export. However, this variable does not provide a causal effect on other variables in the model. These findings underline the strategic role of economic openness, especially international trade, in driving economic growth in the ASEAN+3 region. This study provides important insights into regional economic dynamics while emphasizing the importance of policies that support economic openness to strengthen regional economic integration and sustainable growth.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

jibe

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

The Journal of Innovation in Business and Economics (JIBE) is published by the Department of Economics and Business at University of Muhammadiyah Malang in 2017. Previously this journal was known as Jurnal Media Ekonomi that was initially published in 2000. In 2011 until 2016, this journal was ...