Jurnal Elektronika Listrik dan Teknologi Informasi Terapan
Vol. 8 No. 1 (2026): ELTI Juni

SISTEM PREDIKSI PRODUKTIVITAS AYAM BROILER MENGGUNAKAN METODE TIME SERIES ARIMA PADA KANDANG AYAM MITRA UNGGAS MUARA BULIAN

Lisa Agustina (Politeknik Jamni)
Tanto Tanto (Politeknik Jambi)
Febri Dristyan (Politeknik Jambi)



Article Info

Publish Date
08 Jun 2026

Abstract

Broiler chicken farming faces challenges in predicting productivity due to production performance fluctuations and inefficient manual recording. This research aims to develop a broiler chicken productivity prediction system using the ARIMA method at Mitra Unggas Muara Bulian Chicken Farm. Research data was collected from daily production records for 30 days including population, mortality, average weight, and feed consumption. The method used is the Team Data Science Process (TDSP) to design a website-based prediction system. The research results show that the ARIMA (1,1,3) model can predict harvest weight for 1-3 days ahead with 86.96% accuracy, MAE 3,889.0 grams, and MAPE 13.04%. This system provides monitoring, prediction, and reporting features in real-time through easy-to-understand graphical visualizations. The implementation of this system is expected to support more effective farm management and assist farmers in making strategic decisions regarding production planning and optimal harvest timing  

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

elti

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy

Description

Jurnal ELTI (Elektronika, Listrik dan Teknologi Informasi Terapan) merupakan jurnal peer review yang difokuskan kepada tiga cakupan utama, yakni bidang Elektronika, Listrik dan Teknologi Informasi. Untuk bidang Elektronika mencakup Implementasi Sensor Elektronik (Electronics Sensor Implementation), ...