IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Vol 15, No 3: June 2026

Deep hybrid models for bitcoin forecasting: EMD, CEEMDAN,and LSTM in comparison

Ayoub Aarabi (Mohammed V University in Rabat)
Maryem Ait Moulay (Mohammed V University in Rabat)
Issam Bouganssa (Mohammed V University in Rabat)
Abdelali Lasfar (Mohammed V University in Rabat)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jun 2026

Abstract

In this study, an artificial neural network (ANN) was developed to forecast Bitcoin prices using one of the most successful deep learning architectures for time series analysis: long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. This model was enhanced with a signal processing layer that reduces the impact of the instrument’s high volatility on prediction accuracy by applying two signal decomposition techniques: empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN). This study is motivated by the major fluctuations in Bitcoin prices, which make precise forecasting difficult but crucial for experts and investors. This findings demonstrate that forecasting performance improves when decomposition techniques are used. In particular, compared to the conventional LSTM and EMD-LSTM models, the CEEMDAN-LSTM model achieved the highest accuracy, with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 167.837 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 255.673, outperforming both EMD-LSTM (MAE =168.785, RMSE =256.042) and the standard LSTM (MAE =169.516, RMSE=256.225). The combination of CEEMDAN and LSTM results in a more reliable model that can accurately capture short-term fluctuations in Bitcoin prices.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) publishes articles in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The scope covers all artificial intelligence area and its application in the following topics: neural networks; fuzzy logic; simulated biological evolution algorithms (like ...