IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Vol 15, No 3: June 2026

Forecasting world sugar contract futures using long short-term memory technique with multi-step ahead forecasting strategy

Khairil Anwar Notodiputro (IPB University)
Kayla Fakhriyya Jasmine (IPB University)
Indahwati Indahwati (IPB University)
Wandee Wanishsakpong (Kasetsart University)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Jun 2026

Abstract

Time series analysis using stochastic and dynamic models for data forecasting is a key in assisting planning and decision-making processes in various sectors. Long short-term memory (LSTM), with its advantage in understanding patterns and non-linearity in sequential data, is applied in a multi-step ahead forecasting strategy on world sugar futures prices. Fluctuations in sugar prices have a significant impact on the agriculture, trade, and food industry sectors. Forecasting sugar prices becomes a crucial tool for industries, investors, and traders to anticipate changes and make informed decisions. The objectives of this study are to identify the best strategy for forecasting the world sugar contract price and to perform forecasting using the best model. The research results indicate that hyperparameter tuning in LSTM models produces varied combinations and effects. Furthermore, the recursive strategy is suitable for long-term forecasting, while the direct strategy is appropriate for short-term forecasting. Forecasting values for long-term periods remains challenging in achieving high accuracy.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

IJAI

Publisher

Subject

Computer Science & IT Engineering

Description

IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) publishes articles in the field of artificial intelligence (AI). The scope covers all artificial intelligence area and its application in the following topics: neural networks; fuzzy logic; simulated biological evolution algorithms (like ...