In the labor-intensive garment manufacturing industry, there is a conventional assumption that achieving production targets largely depends on increasing the number of workers (manpower), causing evaluations of operational time efficiency to often be overlooked. To examine this assumption, this study aims to identify the dominant factors affecting garment production output using a Machine Learning approach based on Ensemble Learning methods, namely Random Forest and Gradient Boosting. The dataset consisted of 700 observations collected at 20-minute intervals, including variables such as actual Standard Minute Value (SMV), SMV gap, actual manpower, and manpower gap. The evaluation results indicate that the Random Forest model outperformed Gradient Boosting, achieving a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 4.55, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 6.85, Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 19.12%, and an R² value of 0.758. In comparison, Gradient Boosting obtained an MAE of 4.88, RMSE of 7.21, MAPE of 20.78%, and an R² value of 0.733. Based on the best-performing model, the feature importance analysis revealed that actual SMV was the most dominant factor (>0.70), followed by the SMV gap (>0.20). In contrast, manpower variables had a very limited influence (
Copyrights © 2026