Inkubis: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Vol. 8 No. 2 (2026): INKUBIS Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis

Market Reaction to Information Signals: Evidence from the Indonesian Stock Market

Esi Fitriani Komara (Universitas Jenderal Achmad Yani)
Intan Permata Dewi (Universitas Jenderal Achmad Yani)



Article Info

Publish Date
11 Jun 2026

Abstract

Background: The capital market is involved in the allocation of funds and the reflection of economic information. However, in emerging markets such as Indonesia, responses to macroeconomic signals are not consistently observed due to information asymmetry, investor heterogeneity, and high economic uncertainty. Objective: This study aims to analyze the impact of interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates on market returns and to describe the response to macroeconomic signals in the Indonesian stock market. Methods: This study uses monthly time-series data from the Indonesia Stock Exchange, Bank Indonesia, and the Central Statistics Agency from 2016 to 2025. Multiple linear regression analysis is used to examine the relationships among the variables. Results: Results show that exchange rates have a negative and significant impact on market returns, while interest rates and inflation have no significant impact on market returns. These findings suggest that external macroeconomic factors, especially currency fluctuations, have a greater impact on stock market reactions than domestic financial variables. Conclusion: This study concludes that among the three macroeconomic information signals analyzed, exchange rates have the most dominant and statistically significant impact on market returns in Indonesia. These findings highlight that market responses in emerging markets are context-dependent and shaped by prevailing macroeconomic conditions and investor risk perceptions.

Copyrights © 2026






Journal Info

Abbrev

ink

Publisher

Subject

Economics, Econometrics & Finance

Description

INKUBIS: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis is a scientific periodical published twice a year or 6 months. INKUBIS: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis is managed by the Politeknik Siber Cerdika Internasional which publishes scientific manuscripts in the family of economics and ...